DECO 25A29 - Economic Outlook Assessment: Methods, Tools and Debates for Economists & Policy Makers

DECO 25A29 · Semestre de printemps 2025-2026

Langue d'enseignement
English
Type d'enseignement
Cours séminaire
Nombre d'heures
24
Crédits
5

Informations

Descriptif

Little theory, but facts, data, calculations and practical know-how. Economists seek to understand how countries perform, and policy makers (central banks, international institutions, governments) must take actions. The aim of this course is to train economists to critical thinking: how to find relevant and comprehensive data? How to compute and analyse them? How to deliver an objective assessment and sound policy recommendations? We will decrypt the main statistical sources used by economists & policy makers to forge their views. Surveys, GDP, inflation, unemployment, ‘imbalances’, ‘leading’ indicators: how are they built, what do they mean? Through hands-on work with data, students will develop the analytical autonomy to interpret current macroeconomic debates (e.g., in The Economist or the Financial Times) with an informed perspective and to form independent judgments.

Pré-requis

Macroeconomics. Excel-like software will be used for simple calculations and case studies.

Mode de validation

Olivier Vigna: Take-Home Exam: 25% / On-site exam25%
Sophie Guilloux-Nefussi: In-class exercises: 10% / On-site exam40%

Lectures

Lectures principales 1

  1. International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook, Global Economy in Flux, Prospects remain dim, Chapter 1, October 2025: https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WEO/2025/October/English/text.ashx

    Lire en ligne

Lectures secondaires 3

  1. Bank of International Settlements, BIS Quarterly Review

    Lire en ligne

  2. OECD, Economic Outlook

    Lire en ligne

  3. The Economist, weekly magazine

    Emprunter

Unités pédagogiques

N° d'UPType d'UP Unités pédagogiquesEnseignants Nombre d'heuresCrédits
54400Cours séminaire Economic Outlook Assessment: Methods, Tools and Debates for Economists & Policy Makers Sophie GUILLOUX-NEFUSSI, Olivier VIGNA245

Enseignants

  • Sophie GUILLOUX-NEFUSSI
  • Olivier VIGNA

Dans les maquettes

Contacts et ressources

Contact pédagogique
DE MISCAULT Ségolène