DECO 25A29 - Economic Outlook Assessment: Methods, Tools and Debates for Economists & Policy Makers

DECO 25A29 · Spring semester 2025-2026

Language of tuition
English
Course type
Cours séminaire
Number of hours
24
Credits
5

Information

Description

Little theory, but facts, data, calculations and practical know-how. Economists seek to understand how countries perform, and policy makers (central banks, international institutions, governments) must take actions. The aim of this course is to train economists to critical thinking: how to find relevant and comprehensive data? How to compute and analyse them? How to deliver an objective assessment and sound policy recommendations? We will decrypt the main statistical sources used by economists & policy makers to forge their views. Surveys, GDP, inflation, unemployment, ‘imbalances’, ‘leading’ indicators: how are they built, what do they mean? Through hands-on work with data, students will develop the analytical autonomy to interpret current macroeconomic debates (e.g., in The Economist or the Financial Times) with an informed perspective and to form independent judgments.

Prerequisites

Macroeconomics. Excel-like software will be used for simple calculations and case studies.

Assessment

Olivier Vigna: Take-Home Exam: 25% / On-site exam25%
Sophie Guilloux-Nefussi: In-class exercises: 10% / On-site exam40%

Readings

Main readings 1

  1. International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook, Global Economy in Flux, Prospects remain dim, Chapter 1, October 2025: https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WEO/2025/October/English/text.ashx

    Read online

Further readings 3

  1. Bank of International Settlements, BIS Quarterly Review

    Read online

  2. OECD, Economic Outlook

    Read online

  3. The Economist, weekly magazine

    Borrow

Teaching units

Unit no.Unit type Teaching unitsTeachers Number of hoursCredits
54400Cours séminaire Economic Outlook Assessment: Methods, Tools and Debates for Economists & Policy Makers Sophie GUILLOUX-NEFUSSI, Olivier VIGNA245

Teachers

  • Sophie GUILLOUX-NEFUSSI
  • Olivier VIGNA

In the curricula

Contacts and resources

Contact
DE MISCAULT Ségolène